16 November 2018
We are three weeks away from the fantasy playoffs and its do or die time for so many teams! I’ve been living off the waiver all season and I have been trying to give you the best advice possible to get you on top of your league. I feel sorry for the people who drafted Le’Veon Bell because you wasted a first round pick for nothing. I praise all who picked up James Conner off the waiver the day after your draft or if you spent a very late round pick on him.
We learned this week that Le’Veon Bell is the worst first round pick in the history of fantasy football! We also learned that James Conner was the best waiver wire pick up in the history of fantasy football. What side were you on?
I was on James Conner’s side and I told you all from day 1 how important the waiver wire is! There is still time to find a hidden gem on the waiver wire even though there are only three weeks left in this fantasy football season. I’m going to give you guys some waiver wire flyers this week and hope they bring you good luck and lots of points.
Waiver Wire Flyers
- TJ Jones – WR Detroit Lions
Jones is available in 96.3% of leagues. With Golden Tate traded away to Philadelphia and with Marvin Jones ruled out for this weeks game vs Carolina, I advise you to take a chance of TJ Jones.
TJ becomes starter for the Lions who are a pass happy team that also takes on a deflated Carolina team who just gave up 50+ points to the Steelers last week! I expect lots of points in this game being played in Detroit.
Theo Riddick – RB/WR Detroit Lions
Riddick is available is 70.3% of leagues. Riddick makes this list because he’s one of Detroit’s best pass catchers out of the back field. Before you start screaming at me to tell me that Kerryon Johnson is the lead back, take into account that the Lions have been lining up Riddick at the slot and playing him as a receiver as well as a RB. Double duty for Riddick! I Highly advise for you guys to take a chance on Riddick as he has had back to back games with more then 5+ receptions.
Jeff Heuerman – TE Denver Broncos
Heuerman is available in 80% of leagues! With the Broncos trading away Demaryius Thomas, their offense has been trying to find a new identity. Last weeks performance by Heuerman sent us an impression that he is going to have a large role going forward with the team. Before their BYE game last week, Heuerman led the team in receptions as well as yards, he also added a TD to his resume. I expect Heuerman to continue his success as he establishes a larger role with the Broncos offense.
Josh Reynolds – WR LA Rams
Reynolds takes over the #3 receiver spot for the Rams now that Cooper Kupp is out for the rest of the season with a torn ACL. When given the opportunity this season, Reynolds has taken full advantage of it with a two TD game vs the Green Bay Packers just two weeks ago. I expect Reynolds to step into Kupps spot and be productive in it. Reynolds is no Cooper Kupp by any means but he is in a fantastic offense that loves to move down the field quickly and score points! There is a lot of optimism forming around Reynolds at the moment, he is available in 77% of fantasy leagues.
Chris Godwin – WR Tampa Bay Bucs
Godwin is available in 54% of leagues around the country. He is definitely a guy you should go grab if you are weak at the receiver or flex position. Godwin is coming off his best performance of the season with a seven reception game that led to 107 yards receiving. With Fitzpatrick now the #1 QB in Tampa Bay again, this helps out Godwin by a good margin. Godwin was able to find the end zone three out of four games in the first month of the season with Fitzpatrick playing QB. I hope you guys see the same trend I’m seeing right now! Go grab Godwin and expect good results as the Bucs have somewhat of a favorable pass friendly schedule coming up.
Good luck & may the force be with you!
9 November 2018
The last 4 weeks of our fantasy regular season are upon us! It’s do or die for some and others are sitting pretty at the top of their league. With the playoffs looming it’s time to make some tough decisions.
I’m not the one to influence trades but for the first time in a while I made a trade that I thought made sense. I decided to trade Tyler Boyd, Josh Gordon. Mohamed Sanu in exchange for AJ Green and Chris Godwin. Before you call me dumb or unlucky due to the Injury that occurred to Green’s toe, think about the potential AJ Green brings going into the last month of the season and where his true value stands. With that said, how freakin unlucky am I!!! Haha I never do trades for these reasons, they just hardly ever work out for me. With that said, I needed to let that out there and let my feelings be known. AJ Green better get out there soon and produce like he has produced all season! FINGERS CROSSED
Here are my starts of the week that are not the obvious starts like Alvin Kamara or Todd Gurley.
- Tyler Boyd – Boyd is the Bengals #1 receiver this week and they are at home vs the Saints. I expect Boyd to get atleast 10-12 targets along with a TD or two. The Saints gave up 35 points to the Rams last week along with 391 passing yards. I expect the Bengals to pass a lot and who’s a better to target then Boyd with Green being out!
- Golden Tate – Tate will make his first start for the Eagles against the Dallas Cowboys. Some say this match up does not favor Tate but I say otherwise! The last time Tate played vs the Cowboys in their week 4 matchup, he torched them for 8 catches worth 132 yards and two TD’s. The Cowboys had no answer for him and he became a matchup nightmare. With Tate now on the Eagles, I expect Carson Wentz to recognize this matchup nightmare and expose the Cowboys yet again.
- Duke Johnson Jr – With Carlos Hyde out of the picture in Cleveland, Chubb & Johnson JR have been the Browns go to guys. The Browns play the Atlanta Falcons in Cleveland & the Falcons have issues with RB pass catchers out of the backfield. Chubb is their work horse but Johnson Jr is their pass catcher. Last week Johnson Jr was finally let loose and he had 9 catches for 78 yards and two TD’s. Baker Mayfield will recognize the holes in the Falcon defense and attack that throughout the game. The Falcons got lucky last week with Chris Thompson being ruled out for the Redskins. They will have no such luck this week vs the Browns.
- Marquez Valdez Scantling – The WR for the Green Bay packers is taking the opportunity given to him with great stride. With Randall Cobb not at 100% along with Geronimo Allison getting put on the IR, it is officially MVS time. Over the last three games MVS has 8 catches for 249 yards and a TD. The Packers will be playing at home in a do or die match vs the Osweiler led Dolphins. I see MVS doing the Lambeau leap this weekend! Go Pack Go!
- Andrew Luck – Isn’t it great to see Andrew Luck healthy again. Lucy has been playing at a pro bowl level all season long. Luck only has one game without throwing multiple TD’s this season. The Colts take on a Jaguars team that looks nothing like they did a season ago. I expect the Luck led Colts to beat up a Jaguars team that is searching for answers at the wrong time of yr. Let’s not forget that this game is also in Indianapolis.
Good luck to everyone this week and let the force be with you!
1 November 2018
Trying to figure out who to sit and who to start can be a cruel process. You can act like you know what you are doing but we all really have no idea what can possibly happen.
Last week I told you to start Tyler Boyd, Marlon Mack, Philip Lindsay, James White, Jermaine Kearse. I apologize to those who started Jermaine Kearse because I dropped the ball on that one. If you started Marlon Mack or Tyler Boyd, or any of the others I listed, you are very welcome!
Here are my start ems of the week!
- Nick Chubb – Nick Chubb is going up against a soft Chiefs defense. Chubb has also had back to back weeks of 18 carries. Chubb showcased his talent with limited reps while Carlos Hyde was the lead back. I expect lots of points in this game and hopefully we can see another battle like Mahomes vs Baker gave us in their college battle.
- Adrian Peterson – Peterson has been the Washington work horse this season and is running the ball like he has something to prove. Watching Peterson’s production increase is nothing short of fantastic. This week they take on the Falcons who have been bit by the injury bug all season long. Expect Peterson to have 18 plus carries with the potential to have a double TD game. Washington will try to run all over the falcons.
- Kenny Golladay & Marvin Jones – That’s right, the tag team duo from the Detroit Lions will each have big games vs the Minnesota Vikings. With Golden Tate traded away to the Eagles, expect a jump in targets for both Jones and Golladay. Detroit has a very pass happy offense which now has less mouths to feed.
- Tarik Cohen – Cohen has been on a tear as of late. He has a TD in each of his last 3 games as well as 20 plus points in each of his last 4 games. Cohen takes on a Bills team which is coming off of another deflating loss. The Patriots used James White all game long and the Bills had no answer for the RB catching the ball 10 times out of the backfield. I expect the Bears to do the same thing against a lifeless Bills team.
- Brandin Cooks, Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods – if you have em any of these Rams receivers, START THEM! The Rams will go into New Orleans and battle a very good Saints team that has allowed a lot yards to opposing receivers. I expect this game to be the highest scoring game of the week and there will plenty of targets and points for all receivers. With Cooper Kupp back in action I expect Goff to excel and spread the ball around to all his favorite targets.
26 October 2018
I praise all the people who took my advice and picked up Marlon Mack off of the waiver wire! I’m sure you are very happy with your selection. Marlon Mack returned from injury in week 7 and put on a show. Mack carried the ball 19 times for a productive 129 Yards & a TD, as well as two receptions for 33 yards with another TD. That my friends is what we call a great damn day!
As for my fantasy season, it has been getting better with time and patience! I’ve been living off the waiver wire in many of my leagues and have been getting quite lucky with some picks. Players like Tyler Boyd, James Conner, Phillip Lindsay have saved me season. It’s crazy to think that all those players were available off the waiver and not drafted, it goes to show how important the waiver wire is each week. There can always be a sleeping giant sitting on the waiver wire that nobody is taking about & is just waiting to be unleashed.
PLAYERS YOU SHOULD START THIS WEEK:
Marlon Mack – Mack will be going up a below average defense in Oakland which has allowed RB’s like Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, Carlos Hyde to run it all over them. Expect the Colts to have a lead and run Mack for 15+ carrries.
Phillip Lindsay – Lindsay will finally get the touches he deserves! With Freeman being injured this week there will not be split duty and expect Lindsay to get lots of looks! The Broncos will be taking on a Kansas City defense that has been torched for yards all season long. What are the Broncos going to do? let Keenum throw it, or let Lindsay run it? I think we all know the answer to that one!
Tyler Boyd – Boyd was finally brought down to earth last week vs the Chiefs and it was in the matchup we least expected it in. Expect Boyd to get back on track this week vs a Tampa Bay defense that just fired their defensive coordinator! Sorry Mike Smith….
Jermaine Kearse – The New York Jets will be without Robby Anderson & Quincy Enunwa this week. With 2 of the 3 starting receivers being out, Jermaine Kearse will be the lone wolf feeding on all the targets coming his way. The Jets will going up against a strong opponent in Chicago. Expect the Bears to be leading for a large majority of the game forcing the Jets to pass.
James White – RB James White has been incredible all season long. Brady loves giving White targets and has played security blanket for Brady all season long. With Sony Michel injuring himself last week expect White to have more snaps and more production then he has already given you! The Patriots take on a decimated Bills team on Monday Night Football.
12 October 2018
It was been an up and down fantasy season for me so far. I hope that you can all say otherwise for yourselves. I was the moron that decided to invest in a 3rd round pick on Josh Gordon as well as waste a 5th round pick on Chris Hogan. It’s these types of mistakes that can put you behind the 8 ball and looking to make roster changes week in and week out.
I play in 3 leagues and I can currently say that in two out of the three I am doing quite well. Unfortunately, the league that has the most bragging rights is the one I’m doing the worst in…The ESPN 1420 League. I need to step it up in this league considering I lost to the worst fantasy player of all time last week, Gary Dickman. Waiver wire pick ups will need to save me in that league if I want to remain the champion.
HOT WAIVER WIRE PICKUPS THIS WEEK:
- Marlon Mack – Mack was Indianapolis Colts starting running back going into week 1 until he had a hamstring injury. Mack was a full participant at practice on Thursday and will take over the reigns again within the next week weeks. Don’t expect a heavy work load this week considering they will slowly work him back into the mix.
Available in 76% of leagues.
- Jameis Winston – Winston returns to his normal role this week as starting QB for the Tampa bay Buccaneers. With Tampa Bay playing the broken Atlanta Falcons expect a shootout performance from both teams. Winston is a QB1 this week, Atlanta has given free rides to all offenses since week 3.
Available in 48% of leagues.
- Wendell Smallwood – Smallwood is going to have an increase with his workload starting this week vs Giants. With Jay Ajayi going down for the season, Smallwood and Clements will take over RB duties for the Eagles. Expect 15-20 touches a game for Smallwood.
Available in 52% of leagues.
- Chester Rogers – Rogers has had an increase in his work load with T.Y Hilton going down with an injury. Over the last two games Rogers has 16 catches for 151 yards. Andrew Luck and him seem to have made a nice connection. You can count on Rogers to continue his success for as long as Hilton is sidelined.
Available in 90% of leagues.
- Keke Coutee – Coutee, a WR for the Houston Texans has bust into the scene with a couple of great fantasy outings. In the last two games he has accumulated 17 receptions for 160 yards and one TD. The Texans seemed to have found another dynamic WR.
Available in 62% of leagues.
5 October 2018
For all those who traded Amari Cooper last week, I apologize. I apologize for the week, but I do not apologize for the overall season! I still believe that Amari Cooper, David Johnson and Russell Wilson are all trade bait as of now. They are still sell high candidates.
I expected a larger role for David Johnson with Josh Rosen taking over the QB position in Arizona, but has not transpired – yet. I was a little bit hesitant when I put David Johnson in the “trade now” category in last week’s blog. After watching Arizona again last week, however, that put a firm stamp on my thought. Rosen is not yet ready to be a must-start QB by any means, so therefore any teams playing Arizona will load the box and dare teams to run on them.
We are now through the first quarter of the Fantasy season, and it’s time to start making moves if you only have one win or no wins. This week, I will tell you my starts of the week.
Tyler Boyd – WR Cincinnati Bengals
Boyd has become one of the most reliable No. 2 receivers in the NFL. With AJ Green demanding so much attention, Boyd has taken advantage of this situation and is making a name for himself. Over his last three games he has 23 catches for 323 yards as well as 2 TD’s.
Calvin Ridley- WR Atlanta Falcons
Ridley has been on an absolute tear over the last few weeks and has ignored the haters who say rookie WRs don’t produce in their first year in the NFL. Ridley has developed a chemistry with Matt Ryan and is starting to expose defenses with his speed and precise route running. With Julio Jones demanding double teams for large portions of the game, Ridley has been able to show off his speed with one-on-one coverage. Many corners enjoy cheating on certain out of bounds routes, and Ridley has made them pay with his quick change of direction. Over the last two games, Ridley has accumulated 11 catches for 200 yards and 5 TD’s. He has become a huge threat in the Atlanta offense, which is one of the best in the league.
Brandin Cooks – START THEM ALL
I write start all of them due to the fact that the Rams offense is the best in the league and they can beat any defense in the NFL however they choose to. In their last game vs Minnesota, all Rams receivers scored touchdowns and they all surpassed over 100 yards receiving. Need I say more?
If you have any of these players, start them!
28 September 2018
Going into week 4 of fantasy football some people think this is their year to win it all, some think their season is over, and others have a sense of belief that they can make a comeback and win it all. Which one are you?
With this weeks installment I’m going to get into some picks that I thought were fantastic but have turned out to be the exact opposite. I know there are many of you like myself that drafted a player you thought was going to take off but has just not materialized yet.
- David Johnson – I’m sure all David Johnson owners want to rethink their draft process and start this whole season over. David Johnson was drafted top five in 90% of fantasy leagues around the country and he has a total of 34 carries through 3 games. Seattle RB CHRIS CARSON received 32 carries in one game already this season! Why wont Arizona feed their best player more carries?! Should we place the blame on Sam Bradford or first year head coach Steve Wilks? I don’t know about you but we need some answers and we need them quick. Fortunately for David Johnson owners, Steve Wilks has decided to bench QB Sam Bradford and start their new shiny toy Josh Rosen this week. Hopefully this changes Johnsons luck and opens up the run game.
- Chris Hogan – This was the year Chris Hogan was suppose to be a fantasy star receiver. With Julian Edelman being out for the first 4 games of the season along with Danny Amendola running away to the Miami Dolphins, and Rob Gronkowski demanding double coverage, Hogan was suppose to step up and be Brady’s go to. So much for that prediction. Chris Hogan has 7 catches for 84 yards and a pair of garbage time touchdowns. With the Patriots trading for WR Josh Gordon, Chris Hogan’s fantasy value will only decrease. Sorry Chris Hogan owners.
- Amari Cooper – Jon Gruden has had a 1,000 yard receiver in each of the seasons he has been a head coach in the NFL. In the preseason Jon Gruden declared that the Raider offense was going to revolve around Cooper and that he was going to be the focal point of the Raiders offense. All you Cooper owners trusted John Gruden and essentially used your 3rd or 4th round pick on Cooper. In 3 games Cooper has 13 receptions with 10 of those coming in one game. It’s been a rough start for Cooper owners thus far. Hopefully Cooper is able to turn this season around and maybe even catch us his first TD of the season sooner rather then later.
It’s only week 4 so not all hope is lost. If you have one of these 3 players I advise you to trade them and get something in return as quickly as possible.
21 September 2018
I walked into Dave & Busters on Sunday afternoon to watch the Giants vs Cowboys prime time game of the week. Usually when you see guys in a Giants jersey you see him rooting for the Giants, especially when they are playing the Cowboys. Then the craziest thing happened. I saw a Giants fan screaming at the T.V. when Eli Manning was sacked yet again. I asked myself, “what the hell is going on here?” Came to realize he started Eli Manning on his fantasy team and he’s wearing a Cowboys jersey! Fantasy has taken over life and the impossible is now possible.
With this weeks installment we’re going to focus on the possibilities of the year!
POSSIBILITIES of the Year!
- It’s possible for Phillip Lindsay to be the Broncos number one RB and for him to turn into the next Alvin Kamara. Lindsay was an undrafted rookie from the University of Colorado who has totaled 29 carries for 178 yards & three catches for 35 yards and a TD. So much for Rolls Royce Freeman!
- It’s possible for Ryan Fitzpatrick to have a career yr and become Fitzmagic all season! Fitzpatrick has thrown for 819 yards and 8 TD’s in the first two games of this long season. He has also rushed for 35 yards and ran one in for a TD. Fitzpatrick is scorching right now and he has the offensive weapons to make Tampa Bay an offensive Juggernaut. With Mike Evans, Chris Godwin & Desean Jackson playing at a high level this offense has become a pick your poison offense. I wouldn’t have made this a possibility but with Tampa Bay beating up a stellar Philadelphia defense, I became a firm believer in this offense. With Desean Jackson stretching the middle of the field, and with Mike Evans requiring double coverage, it has opened up a one on one matchup with Chris Godwin on the outside, and he has been nothing but excellent. Everyone is getting touches and all have scored TD’s. GO BUCS.
- It’s possible for Todd Gurley to be the #1 Fantasy RB in fantasy yet again. Todd Gurley had himself another fantastic week. Even with Gurley only playing in only 49 of 72 offensive snaps he accounted for 3 TD’s vs The Cardinals. He only rushed for 42 yards but his redzone reliability has made him a TD guru. The Rams will be leading in many games this season so Gurley will have the ball in his hands a lot while aiming to run down the clock and eat up them yards. Gurley for fantasy president!
3 September 2018
It’s finally here: game week in the NFL! By now, you have probably already drafted the team you are dreaming of winning a fantasy championship with. It’s always around this time of year where things in life start to move quicker then normal and the countdown for Sundays become a ritual. Read this blog every week if you want to win your league. I’M NOT KIDDING.
Before we get down to the data and predictions and all the shenanigans that come with Fantasy Football, I’m going to tell you a little bit about myself. I used to be the guy that didn’t play fantasy anything. I was always more into focusing on the games and arguing with my buddies or colleagues about who’s good and who just sucks. Once I moved to the Islands on my own in January 2009, my friends and I needed to figure out a way to keep in touch as well as keep our competitive and argumentative habits alive. Fantasy Football then became relevant and, like anything else we did in our lives, we wanted to become great at it – or at least be able to say, “I’m better than you at this.”
(Patrick Keane, my arch rival, I hope you read this because I’m giving you credit on being a hell of a fantasy player and my goal every season is to simply be better than you. Beating you means I win the league. That’s the last and only thing I will say about Patrick for the rest of this blog – thank goodness!
Since most of you use PPR formats (points per reception) I will keep this to a PPR narrative. I’ve learned by now that the RB position is very, very crucial and necessary in order to win your league(s). The RB position in the NFL has evolved in the last couple of years. We are seeing many rookie/young running backs make instant contributions. For example, Alvin Kamara, Zeke Elliott, Leonard Fournette, Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, David Johnson, Dalvin Cook, Christian McCaffrey, Kareem Hunt, etc.
It is very important to try and stack up your team with reliable running backs. They will get the most consistency and volume of your team,s points. IF you have one of these running backs and were able to secure a solid second RB like Alex Collins, Carlos Hyde, LeSean McCoy, Chris Carson, Joe Mixon, Devonte Freeman, Derrick Henry/Dion Lewis, etc., you are well on your way to having a good season. If you are looking at your lineup and see a weak tandem at the RB position, YOU HAVE SOME WORK TO DO. It’s never too late to fix your roster and don’t let anybody tell you otherwise. Waiver wire pick ups is one of the most important parts of fantasy football. If you think you’re gonna win with the set roster you made this previous week or whenever you drafted, I can pretty much guarantee you will not. Things happen in fantasy football that require quick action and consistent change. For all those who drafted David Johnson or Dalvin Cook last season, you know what I’m talking about.
I love certain WRs in the top 15 like Antonio Brown or DeAndre Hopkins. I love them because I know what I will be getting mostly every week. With these certain receivers you get consistent receptions and volume. Volume is so important to this game simply because volume really means consistent production with whoever is distributing the ball. It is difficult to really find this in the NFL today because many teams like to move the ball around to different receivers more than becoming predictable with that one great receiver. Touchdowns are great, but I will always take the guy who has 15 targets a game more than 6/7 targets and hopefully he catches a touchdown. *CoughCoughJulioJonesCough*
WRs I am looking forward to watching this season who aren’t on the must-start fantasy radar just yet, but might be soon:
- Marquise Goodwin
- Devin Funchess
- Keelan Cole
- Cooper Kupp
- Jordy Nelson
- Nelson Agholor
- Jamison Crowder
- Randall Cobb
After Week 1, we will have a better picture on what is to come and who we are just completely forgetting about. It’s always fun on Monday night when you think you found your sleeper that everyone else is forgetting about, and waiver wire deadlines can’t come fast enough!
Until then, enjoy your opening week in the NFL and try not to break your computer, tablet or iPhone or whatever you are using to follow your fantasy scores on. It’s just Week 1. It will not break you if you lose.